A Flight to Safety: Long Bonds Rally Amidst Broad Equity Decline

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Macro Overview

Global markets faced widespread selling pressure on February 12, 2026, with the S&P 500 (IVV) declining -1.54% as technical weakness emerged in growth-oriented segments. The sell-off was similarly felt in international markets, as Developed Markets ex-U.S. (EFA) fell -0.75% and Emerging Markets (EEM) dropped -1.14%. A significant outlier was the Precious Metals sector (DBP), which cratered -5.14% in a sharp reversal of recent trends, while Fixed Income (AGG) provided a modest hedge, rising 0.45% as yields softened across the curve.

U.S. Size & Style

Value significantly outperformed Growth on a relative basis during the daily session, though all major style boxes finished in the red. Large Growth (IVW) was the primary laggard, falling -1.76% as its 14-day RSI drifted toward oversold territory at 39.48. Meanwhile, Small Value (IJS) showed the steepest daily decline among the value segments at -2.04%, despite maintaining the strongest one-year performance at 16.78% and high breadth with 64.49% of constituents above their 50-day SMA.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Large Value (IVE) -1.36% 0.81% 3.75% 3.26% 13.90%
Mid Value (IJJ) -1.39% 2.60% 9.46% 7.19% 13.30%
Mid Cap (IJH) -1.47% 1.91% 8.13% 6.88% 12.93%
Large Cap (IVV) -1.54% -1.99% 0.02% -0.09% 14.34%
Mid Growth (IJK) -1.59% 1.34% 6.85% 6.53% 12.26%
Small Growth (IJT) -1.63% 1.62% 7.28% 6.67% 10.48%
Large Growth (IVW) -1.76% -4.48% -3.23% -3.06% 14.26%
Small Cap (IJR) -1.84% 2.26% 8.79% 7.67% 13.64%
Small Value (IJS) -2.04% 2.93% 10.25% 8.57% 16.78%

U.S. Sectors & Industries

Defensive sectors provided a rare bright spot as Utilities (XLU) and Consumer Staples (XLP) were the only GICS sectors to finish in positive territory, rising 1.48% and 0.92% respectively. Technical indicators for Staples (XLP) suggest caution as the sector has reached highly overbought levels with an RSI of 80.30. Conversely, Technology (XLK) was the primary laggard, falling -2.63% and breaking below its 50-day SMA as breadth in the sector collapsed to just 39.44%.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Utilities (XLU) 1.48% 6.27% 1.40% 6.00% 17.44%
Consumer Staples (XLP) 0.92% 11.26% 16.31% 14.84% 13.78%
Real Estate (XLRE) 0.16% 5.54% 4.75% 6.25% 5.80%
Health Care (XLV) -0.16% -0.88% 2.51% 0.78% 8.86%
Industrials (XLI) -1.20% 5.87% 12.27% 11.37% 27.11%
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) -1.38% -6.74% -2.20% -2.75% 4.69%
Materials (XLB) -1.47% 8.88% 20.48% 16.49% 21.58%
S&P 500 (SPY) -1.54% -2.00% -0.02% -0.10% 14.23%
Communication Services (XLC) -1.80% -2.48% 1.29% -2.62% 12.12%
Energy (XLE) -1.82% 16.49% 20.63% 20.73% 25.31%
Financial (XLF) -1.99% -6.51% -3.36% -5.62% 2.03%
Technology (XLK) -2.63% -5.16% -5.13% -3.31% 18.79%

Global Thematic

Digital infrastructure and cloud-focused themes demonstrated resilience, with the Digital Infrastructure and Real Estate ETF (IDGT) leading the thematic space with a 3.58% gain. This strength was countered by a violent correction in mining themes, specifically silver and gold miners. The Silver Miners ETF (SLVR) was the day’s worst performer, plunging -10.92% as the underlying commodity price weakness triggered aggressive deleveraging in junior miners.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change
Daily Leaders
iShares U.S. Digital Infrastructure and Real Estate ETF (IDGT) 3.58%
Pacer Data & Infrastructure Real Estate ETF (SRVR) 3.07%
WisdomTree Cybersecurity Fund (WCBR) 1.86%
Global X Data Center And Digital Infrastructure ETF (DTCR) 1.84%
Global X Cloud Computing ETF (CLOU) 0.95%
Daily Laggards
Sprott Silver Miners & Physical Silver ETF (SLVR) -10.92%
Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (SILJ) -9.01%
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) -8.73%
iShares MSCI Global Silver Miners ETF (SLVP) -8.52%
Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (SGDJ) -8.14%

Developed ex-U.S. & Emerging Markets

International markets showed high Dispersion, with South Korea (EWY) remaining a standout performer despite the broader macro gloom, ending the day up 0.15% with a staggering 142.52% one-year return. Emerging Markets were weighed down by China (MCHI), which fell -2.18% as it remains -9.57% below its 52-week high. Thailand (THD) also showed significant strength, rising 0.97% to reach a fresh 52-week high with an RSI now deeply overbought at 77.42.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Developed Markets ex-U.S.
Switzerland (EWL) 0.35% 4.67% 9.30% 5.84% 28.77%
South Korea (EWY) 0.15% 20.08% 39.47% 34.54% 142.52%
Germany (EWG) -0.20% 0.30% 5.47% 3.44% 25.00%
Japan (EWJ) -0.64% 9.47% 14.90% 15.64% 43.62%
Australia (EWA) -0.68% 10.02% 11.36% 11.11% 18.97%
Dev ex-U.S. (EFA) -0.75% 4.77% 9.82% 8.46% 33.46%
France (EWQ) -0.85% 1.26% 3.94% 3.76% 21.13%
U.K. (EWU) -0.89% 4.26% 10.14% 6.89% 33.72%
Hong Kong (EWH) -1.97% 3.55% 4.09% 9.79% 47.66%
Canada (EWC) -2.33% 0.31% 7.74% 2.47% 33.77%
Netherlands (EWN) -2.43% 0.80% 8.23% 7.89% 35.15%
Emerging Markets
Thailand (THD) 0.97% 17.14% 19.16% 17.31% 28.37%
India (INDA) -0.78% -0.54% -2.66% -1.74% 6.65%
Malaysia (EWM) -0.90% 6.22% 13.76% 8.59% 28.05%
Mexico (EWW) -0.97% 10.91% 19.53% 15.27% 59.79%
Taiwan (EWT) -1.08% 8.92% 16.04% 14.21% 44.99%
Indonesia (EIDO) -1.11% -5.79% -2.04% -4.33% 6.18%
Emerging (EEM) -1.14% 5.04% 11.08% 11.24% 42.33%
Brazil (EWZ) -1.71% 16.88% 20.03% 21.15% 60.21%
China (MCHI) -2.18% -5.73% -5.04% 0.85% 19.38%
South Africa (EZA) -3.11% 1.88% 14.90% 7.78% 72.51%

Fixed Income

Bonds experienced a “flight to safety” as equity volatility spiked, with long-duration Treasuries leading the way. The Government Long fund (SPTL) surged 1.20% as the 10-year yield retreated, while core aggregates (AGG) rose 0.45%. Credit-sensitive areas lagged the risk-free curve, with Preferred Stock (PFF) and Convertibles (CWB) declining -0.32% and -0.62% respectively, reflecting the broader souring of sentiment in equity markets.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Multisector
Taxable Long Term (BLV) 0.97% 1.72% 0.82% 2.19% 8.45%
Taxable Core (AGG) 0.45% 0.89% 1.24% 1.12% 8.19%
Taxable Core Enhanced (IUSB) 0.39% 0.89% 1.26% 1.11% 8.28%
Taxable Short-Term (BSV) 0.16% 0.58% 1.14% 0.55% 6.35%
Government
Government Long (SPTL) 1.20% 1.98% 0.44% 2.40% 7.68%
Government Intermediate (SPTI) 0.45% 0.85% 1.03% 0.81% 8.16%
Inflation Protected (TIP) 0.40% 0.97% 0.71% 1.22% 6.81%
Government Short (SPTS) 0.14% 0.49% 1.09% 0.45% 5.40%
Taxable Ultrashort (BIL) 0.00% 0.29% 0.92% 0.40% 4.08%
Specialty
Mortgage Backed (MBS) 0.47% 0.87% 1.74% 1.32% 9.69%
Corporate (SPIB) 0.27% 0.77% 1.48% 0.83% 8.35%
Taxable High Yield (HYG) -0.05% 0.18% 1.77% 0.69% 7.95%
Bank Loans (BKLN) -0.29% -1.58% -0.06% -1.30% 5.11%
Preferred Stock (PFF) -0.32% 0.12% 2.49% 2.25% 6.40%
Convertible (CWB) -0.62% 0.93% 3.17% 5.38% 18.63%
International & EM
Emerging USD (EMB) 0.28% 1.44% 2.01% 1.44% 13.75%
International USD (BNDX) 0.23% 0.69% 0.58% 1.23% 3.87%
International (IGOV) 0.05% 2.85% 2.79% 2.93% 12.46%
Emerging (EMLC) 0.04% 2.55% 5.08% 3.11% 19.69%
Municipals
Municipal Long (MLN) 0.34% 0.79% 0.76% 0.90% 3.72%
Municipal High Yield (HYD) 0.33% 0.15% 1.59% 0.52% 3.69%
Municipal Intermediate (MUB) 0.24% 0.76% 1.47% 1.18% 5.15%
Municipal Short (SUB) 0.07% 0.61% 1.44% 0.82% 3.99%

Commodities

Commodities were broadly decimated by a sharp sell-off in metals, with Broad Commodities (DJP) falling -1.98%. The carnage was most severe in Precious Metals (DBP), which cratered -5.14% as Silver (SLV) suffered a double-digit daily loss of -11.53%. Agriculture offered a small pocket of green, led by Wheat (WEAT) which gained 2.20% on the day, diverging from the heavy industrial and energy complexes.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Broad Commodities (DJP) -1.98% 3.62% 8.17% 8.11% 17.21%
Agriculture
Wheat (WEAT) 2.20% 5.70% -0.51% 6.86% -15.82%
Corn (CORN) 0.97% 2.74% -2.26% -0.62% -12.77%
Soybeans (SOYB) 0.90% 6.78% 0.04% 7.32% 6.93%
Broad-based Agriculture (DBA) 0.27% 1.01% 1.59% 1.45% -4.12%
Sugar (CANE) 0.11% -6.47% -3.36% -7.33% -23.06%
Energy
Natural Gas (UNG) 0.89% 11.18% -15.15% 1.39% -33.85%
Broad-based Energy (DBE) -2.44% 7.13% 3.95% 9.71% 3.17%
Brent Crude Oil (BNO) -3.10% 7.20% 11.20% 12.57% 3.57%
WTI Crude Oil (USO) -3.18% 6.60% 9.44% 10.44% 0.08%
Gasoline (UGA) -3.66% 5.19% 0.65% 10.34% 5.70%
Industrial Metals
Broad-based Industrial Metals (DBB) -2.36% -2.56% 11.14% 2.83% 25.48%
Copper (CPER) -3.51% -3.71% 12.73% 1.57% 20.05%
Precious Metals
Gold (GLD) -3.47% 6.91% 16.94% 13.90% 68.64%
Broad-based Precious Metals (DBP) -5.14% 1.24% 20.28% 11.05% 74.47%
Palladium (PALL) -5.76% -13.24% 9.47% 1.11% 64.67%
Platinum (PPLT) -6.62% -14.43% 23.10% -2.63% 99.81%
Silver (SLV) -11.53% -12.30% 40.17% 5.14% 130.85%

Cryptocurrency

Digital assets suffered alongside other risk assets, as Bitcoin (IBIT) fell -3.24% and Ethereum (ETHA) dropped -1.97%. The technical outlook has deteriorated significantly over the last month, with Bitcoin down -28.57% and Solana (SOLZ) plunging -45.35% during the 30-day lookback period. Solana was the day’s laggard among high-beta tokens, falling -3.45% as it continues to lead the landscape to the downside in recent months.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day % Change 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Solana (SOLZ) -3.45% -45.35% -50.56% -38.40%
Bitcoin (IBIT) -3.24% -28.57% -35.67% -25.38% -32.83%
Multi-Coin (NCIQ) -2.89% -30.90% -37.79% -27.07%
XRP -2.20% -34.62% -26.27%
Ethereum (ETHA) -1.97% -38.31% -43.93% -35.53% -28.73%

What to Watch Today

Market participants are bracing for upcoming U.S. consumer sentiment data and inflation expectations, which will likely dictate the next move for Treasury yields and interest-rate-sensitive growth stocks. The broad-based rejection of risk across equities and crypto, coupled with the flight to long-duration bonds, suggests a shift in the macro narrative toward recessionary hedging. Investors will also be monitoring geopolitical updates and any stabilizing commentary from central bank officials to see if this “de-risking” event finds a floor or intensifies into a deeper correction.

This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.