Long Treasuries Rally as TLT Outflows Offset Vanguard Inflows

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Weekly Channel Summary

The Taxable channel ended the week with $2,407.32B in AUM spread across 732 ETFs from 152 issuers. Net flows totaled $6,409M for the five-day period, bringing the year-to-date tally to $461,324M and the trailing one-year total to $553,651M. These figures confirm the channel’s continued position as a primary destination for fixed income investor capital.

This Week’s Performance Leaders and Laggards

Taxable – Government Long led all categories on the week with a 2.15% gain, followed closely by Taxable – Long-Term at 1.72%, as long-duration interest rate sensitivity drove outperformance. Taxable – Convertible was the clear laggard, falling 6.04% WTD despite a strong 7.79% YTD return, reflecting a sharp pullback in equity-linked credit instruments. Most intermediate and core bond categories posted modest positive weekly returns in the 0.7%-0.9% range. The standout individual fund was MBSX, up 4.95%, with long-duration Treasury proxies like GOVZ and ZROZ close behind near 4.9%.

Category Performance Snapshot

Category WTD 1 Month 3 Month 6 Month YTD 1 Year
Taxable – Government Long 2.15% -0.44% -3.38% -4.44% -4.38% -6.63%
Taxable – Long-Term 1.72% -0.99% -3.60% -4.49% -4.16% -6.20%
Taxable – Core 0.84% -0.09% -1.80% -2.13% -1.58% -1.77%
Taxable – Government Intermediate 0.82% 0.26% -1.47% -1.94% -1.68% -1.82%
Taxable – Securitized 0.79% -0.34% -2.26% -2.62% -1.60% -1.15%
Taxable – Core Enhanced 0.79% -0.31% -2.00% -2.18% -1.55% -1.55%
Taxable – Inflation Protected 0.77% 0.34% -0.77% -0.77% 0.52% 0.10%
Taxable – Corporate 0.76% -0.32% -2.20% -2.48% -2.06% -2.12%
Taxable – International 0.54% -0.88% -1.24% -3.21% -2.74% -3.18%
Taxable – Emerging USD 0.42% -1.13% -2.84% -2.02% -0.95% 0.84%
Taxable – International USD 0.33% 0.57% -0.88% -0.42% -0.11% -0.81%
Taxable – Short-Term 0.28% 0.24% -0.35% -0.01% 0.58% 1.23%
Municipal – Single State 0.22% 0.19% 0.57% — — —
Taxable – Government Short 0.21% 0.45% 0.14% 0.44% 0.93% 1.53%
Taxable – Emerging 0.21% -0.15% -0.42% -0.42% 1.20% 3.68%
Taxable – Multisector 0.18% -0.48% -1.49% -0.79% 0.07% 1.07%
Taxable – Ultrashort 0.09% 0.31% 0.91% 1.98% 3.03% 4.06%
Taxable – Government Ultrashort 0.08% 0.34% 0.95% 1.87% 2.91% 3.77%
Taxable – Bank Loans -0.22% -0.43% 1.08% 2.75% 2.44% 4.53%
Taxable – High Yield -0.51% -1.54% -2.08% -1.10% -0.01% 1.59%
Taxable – Preferred Stock -0.84% -2.44% -3.55% -4.14% -2.45% -2.01%
Taxable – Convertible -6.04% -5.71% -6.70% -4.62% 7.79% 4.40%

Top & Bottom 5 ETFs by Weekly Performance

Duration positioning was the dominant theme among top and bottom performers this week. On the upside, DWWN and EDV each gained more than 4.2%, reinforcing the strength seen across long government and Treasury STRIPS exposures. Conversely, convertible bond funds dominated the bottom of the leaderboard, with CVRT down 8.06% and FCVT down 7.68%. ICVT and CWB also declined more than 5.8%, rounding out a weak week for the segment. The spread between top and bottom performers this week was particularly wide, exceeding 13 percentage points.

Ticker Fund Name WTD Performance
Top Performers
MBSX Regan Fixed Rate MBS ETF 4.95%
GOVZ iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF 4.90%
ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Exchange-Traded Fund 4.83%
DWWN Principal Long Duration ETF 4.40%
EDV Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF 4.25%
Bottom Performers
CVRT Calamos Convertible Equity Alternative ETF -8.06%
FCVT First Trust SSI Strategic Convertible Securities ETF -7.68%
ICVT iShares Convertible Bond ETF -6.20%
CWB State Street SPDR Bloomberg Convertible Securities ETF -5.82%
PFXF VanEck Preferred Securities ex Financials ETF -3.85%

Analyzing the Weekly Flows

The Taxable channel attracted $6,409M in net inflows over the five-day period. Multi-Sector exposures led all segments with $5,728M in inflows, followed by Corporate at $1,084M and Bank Loans at $548M. Securitized was the week’s largest outflow segment at -$797M, with Government exposures also slightly negative at -$168M despite strong longer-term flow trends. By duration, Intermediate and Ultrashort categories led inflows at $4,060M and $3,107M respectively, while Duration: Long saw the week’s only notable outflow at -$3,115M, consistent with weakness in long Treasury fund flows.

Flows by Segment

Segment Fund Count AUM 5 Day 30 Day 90 Day YTD 1 Year
Multi-Sector 307 $1,014.93B $5,728M $26,864M $70,548M $210,253M $260,700M
Corporate 159 $401.09B $1,084M $4,601M $4,153M $48,479M $59,791M
Bank Loans 50 $78.47B $548M $4,311M $9,865M $21,126M $21,591M
Preferred Stock 31 $41.07B $7M -$228M -$391M $2,610M $3,136M
Cat Bonds 1 $126M $6M $19M $45M $90M $112M
Government 135 $766.82B -$168M $22,949M $60,714M $171,545M $202,032M
Securitized 48 $104.56B -$797M -$3,232M -$325M $7,221M $6,289M

Flows by Credit Type

Credit Type Fund Count AUM 5 Day 30 Day 90 Day YTD 1 Year
Credit: Investment Grade 374 $1,927.47B $4,558M $42,448M $116,076M $367,602M $432,753M
Credit: Blend 197 $289.53B $2,046M $11,869M $27,343M $80,608M $100,903M
Factor: Beta 1 $26M $25M $25M $25M $25M $25M
Specialty: Interest Rate Volatility 1 $127M $0M $12M $38M $106M $106M
Credit: High Yield 155 $189.55B -$226M $884M $1,010M $12,758M $19,580M

Flows by Duration

Duration Fund Count AUM 5 Day 30 Day 90 Day YTD 1 Year
Duration: Intermediate 423 $1,340.47B $4,060M $23,474M $49,837M $219,969M $276,906M
Duration: Ultrashort 149 $548.03B $3,107M $23,364M $60,712M $165,973M $182,919M
Duration: Short 92 $323.52B $2,353M $5,958M $26,271M $62,555M $73,711M
Physically Held 1 $1M $0M $1M $1M $1M $1M
Duration: Long 63 $194.69B -$3,115M $2,441M $7,671M $12,602M $19,831M

Top & Bottom 5 ETFs by 5-Day Flow

SGOV led all funds in weekly inflows at $910M, followed by VBIL at $575M, as short-duration Treasury vehicles remained in demand. On the outflow side, TLT saw the largest redemptions by a wide margin at -$2,969M, despite strength in long-duration category performance this week. MBB followed with -$660M in outflows, consistent with the Securitized segment’s overall weekly decline.

Ticker Fund Name 5-Day Flow
Inflows
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF $910M
VBIL Vanguard 0-3 Month Treasury Bill ETF $575M
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF $518M
BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF $429M
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF $422M
Outflows
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF -$2,969M
MBB iShares MBS ETF -$660M
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF -$359M
IQMM ProShares GENIUS Money Market ETF -$295M
EMB iShares JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF -$291M

Note: the following fund(s) were excluded from the flow totals above because the weekly flow exceeds 75% of the fund’s AUM and may be the result of a custom rebalance: BD ($205M).

Issuer League Table Update

iShares and Vanguard remain the two dominant issuers in the Taxable channel, holding 35.85% and 25.99% market share respectively, with combined AUM exceeding $1.48 trillion. Vanguard led all issuers in weekly inflows at $3,496M, followed by JPMorgan at $689M and SPDR at $652M. iShares was the week’s largest source of outflows at -$1,770M, driven largely by redemptions from TLT and MBB. ProShares and Simplify also posted modest net outflows for the week, at -$327M and -$181M respectively.

Top 5 Issuers by AUM

Brand Fund Count AUM AUM Market Share
iShares 87 $863.01B 35.85%
Vanguard 31 $625.70B 25.99%
SPDR 36 $178.04B 7.40%
JPMorgan 20 $102.82B 4.27%
Schwab 12 $81.22B 3.37%

Top & Bottom 3 Issuers by 5-Day Flow

Brand 5-Day Flow
Inflows
Vanguard $3,496M
JPMorgan $689M
SPDR $652M
Outflows
iShares -$1,770M
ProShares -$327M
Simplify -$181M

For a deeper dive into these trends, access our FREE, in-depth Taxable ETF reports in the right side panel of this page.

Disclosures

This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.