Consumer Discretionary Surge Lifts U.S. Stocks Amid Global Divergence

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Macro Overview

U.S. equities advanced to close the week, with the S&P 500 (IVV) gaining 0.69%, while international markets showed a clear divergence. Developed ex-U.S. markets (EFA) declined by 0.62%, contrasting with a 0.79% rise in Emerging Markets (EEM). Fixed income markets softened as the U.S. Aggregate Bond index (AGG) fell 0.26%, and broad commodities (DJP) finished the session nearly unchanged.

U.S. Size & Style

A significant performance gap emerged between large-cap growth and value styles, while smaller-cap stocks were mostly flat. Large Growth (IVW) climbed 1.44%, sharply outperforming Large Value (IVE), which slipped 0.19%. Mid and small-cap segments saw minimal changes, with the broad Small Cap index (IJR) down a marginal 0.03%. Despite the mixed daily results, small-caps maintain their year-to-date leadership, with Small Growth (IJT) up 22.71% since the start of the year.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Large Value (IVE) -0.19% 2.05% 4.00% 10.09% 19.59%
Large Cap (IVV) 0.69% 0.19% 4.19% 10.13% 19.59%
Large Growth (IVW) 1.44% -1.66% 4.28% 9.92% 19.22%
Mid Value (IJJ) -0.26% 0.07% 4.25% 13.12% 20.68%
Mid Cap (IJH) -0.11% -2.39% 3.69% 14.59% 20.98%
Mid Growth (IJK) -0.07% -4.78% 3.03% 15.73% 20.99%
Small Value (IJS) 0.09% -0.53% 5.58% 20.25% 36.85%
Small Cap (IJR) -0.03% -1.92% 6.42% 21.59% 33.63%
Small Growth (IJT) -0.21% -3.30% 7.10% 22.71% 30.24%

Explore the U.S. Size & Style Explorer →

U.S. Sectors & Industries

Sector performance was widely dispersed, led by a powerful 3.29% rally in Consumer Discretionary (XLY). Communication Services (XLC) and Energy (XLE) also posted strong gains of 1.56% and 1.00%, respectively. At the other end of the spectrum, Materials (XLB) was the session’s clear laggard, falling 2.34%, while defensive sectors such as Utilities and Health Care also closed in negative territory.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
S&P 500 (SPY) 0.72% 0.03% 4.21% 10.13% 19.49%
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) 3.29% -1.01% -1.71% -2.39% 5.67%
Communication Services (XLC) 1.56% 1.04% -6.85% -7.52% 2.04%
Energy (XLE) 1.00% 12.13% 0.54% 35.01% 40.79%
Industrials (XLI) 0.81% -2.91% 3.26% 16.54% 19.82%
Financials (XLF) -0.11% 6.21% 9.61% 4.86% 10.40%
Technology (XLK) -0.22% -7.96% 10.07% 22.09% 34.17%
Consumer Staples (XLP) -0.49% 2.38% 1.58% 10.87% 9.58%
Real Estate (XLRE) -0.51% 2.36% 2.39% 13.42% 12.56%
Health Care (XLV) -0.59% 2.45% 11.83% 5.90% 26.79%
Utilities (XLU) -0.69% -2.18% -4.73% 5.27% 6.40%
Materials (XLB) -2.34% -0.79% -1.65% 12.11% 17.05%

Explore the U.S. Sectors & Industries Explorer →

Global Thematic

Thematic ETFs linked to online retail and technology were the day’s top performers, mirroring the strength in growth-oriented sectors. The ProShares Online Retail ETF (ONLN) surged 4.24%, followed by a 3.19% gain in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS). Conversely, themes tied to cryptocurrency and gold mining faced heavy selling pressure. The Schwab Crypto Thematic Natural Language Processing ETF (STCE) and the Global X Blockchain ETF (BKCH) were among the worst performers, both declining by more than 4.0%.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day
Leaders
ProShares Online Retail ETF (ONLN) 4.24%
Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) 3.19%
First Trust Bloomberg Artificial Intelligence ETF (FAI) 2.93%
Lazard Next Gen Technologies ETF (TEKY) 2.86%
Themes Humanoid Robotics ETF (BOTT) 2.78%
Laggards
Schwab Crypto Thematic Natural Language Processing ETF (STCE) -4.08%
Global X Blockchain ETF (BKCH) -4.05%
Global X Gold Explorers ETF (GOEX) -3.78%
Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM) -3.76%
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) -3.69%

Explore the Thematic Explorer →

Developed ex-U.S. & Emerging Markets

International equity markets were split, with emerging markets outperforming their developed counterparts. The broad Developed ex-U.S. index (EFA) fell 0.62%, weighed down by losses in major markets like Japan (EWJ) and a sharp 2.55% drop in South Korea (EWY). In contrast, the Emerging Markets index (EEM) advanced 0.79%, boosted by a 2.71% rally in Taiwan (EWT). Despite its daily loss, South Korea remains the top-performing country year-to-date with a 61.59% gain.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Developed Markets ex-U.S.
Developed ex-U.S. (EFA) -0.62% 1.64% 4.81% 11.67% 24.76%
Australia (EWA) -1.61% 4.19% 0.90% 13.61% 16.32%
Canada (EWC) -0.67% 3.04% 1.82% 10.64% 30.36%
France (EWQ) 0.17% 2.47% 5.13% 5.93% 14.21%
Germany (EWG) -0.07% 3.58% 3.41% 2.83% 6.20%
Hong Kong (EWH) -0.94% 10.33% -1.14% 10.35% 16.96%
Japan (EWJ) -0.96% -0.94% 4.24% 15.04% 30.94%
Netherlands (EWN) -0.93% -5.00% 7.59% 18.30% 36.66%
South Korea (EWY) -2.55% -22.19% -2.28% 61.59% 120.68%
Switzerland (EWL) -1.19% 0.49% 4.74% 7.20% 21.92%
U.K. (EWU) -0.55% 4.92% 4.15% 11.66% 25.75%
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets (EEM) 0.79% -6.31% 0.66% 17.73% 34.56%
Brazil (EWZ) 0.33% 6.23% -6.80% 16.46% 44.37%
China (MCHI) 0.54% 9.36% -2.44% -6.50% -1.00%
India (INDA) 0.20% 0.83% 0.77% -7.86% -5.40%
Indonesia (EIDO) 0.00% 9.37% -15.66% -32.66% -26.38%
Malaysia (EWM) -0.64% 4.19% -2.42% 4.75% 23.94%
Mexico (EWW) -0.39% 2.05% 1.95% 12.41% 32.11%
South Africa (EZA) -0.76% 0.68% -4.77% -5.57% 29.20%
Taiwan (EWT) 2.71% -11.10% 7.42% 51.98% 73.06%
Thailand (THD) 1.25% 1.01% 5.71% 25.27% 34.29%

Explore the Global (ex-U.S.) Size & Style Explorer →

Fixed Income

Fixed income markets broadly retreated, with longer-duration bonds experiencing the most significant declines. The Long-Term Treasury index (SPTL) fell 0.67%, while the core U.S. Aggregate Bond index (AGG) was down 0.26%. Credit-sensitive asset classes proved more resilient, as High Yield (HYG) ended nearly flat and Bank Loans (BKLN) posted a small 0.05% gain. Convertible bonds (CWB) were a notable outlier, gaining 0.35% alongside the rally in equities.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Multisector
Short-Term (BSV) -0.08% -0.09% 0.07% 0.42% 2.98%
Core Enhanced (IUSB) -0.21% -1.17% -0.62% -0.29% 3.06%
Core (AGG) -0.26% -1.30% -0.75% -0.56% 2.72%
Long-Term (BLV) -0.47% -3.90% -2.31% -2.81% 0.43%
Government
Ultrashort (BIL) 0.03% 0.34% 0.93% 2.08% 3.80%
Short-Term (SPTS) -0.07% 0.10% 0.32% 0.75% 3.14%
Inflation Protected (TIP) -0.10% -0.68% -0.95% 0.54% 2.51%
Intermediate (SPTI) -0.21% -0.77% -0.69% -0.76% 2.10%
Long-Term (SPTL) -0.67% -4.05% -2.56% -3.27% -0.43%
Specialty
Convertible (CWB) 0.35% -5.46% 1.16% 14.99% 21.85%
Preferred Stock (PFF) 0.10% 0.40% -1.80% 0.89% 2.89%
Bank Loans (BKLN) 0.05% 0.63% 0.59% 0.65% 3.88%
High Yield (HYG) 0.01% -0.15% 0.37% 1.53% 4.84%
Corporate (SPIB) -0.09% -0.61% -0.14% 0.18% 3.39%
Mortgage Backed (MBB) -0.40% -1.34% -0.91% -0.34% 4.17%
International & EM
Emerging USD (EMB) -0.14% -1.44% 0.07% 0.90% 7.26%
Emerging Local (EMLC) -0.16% 0.21% 1.30% 1.78% 9.00%
International USD (BNDX) -0.23% -1.14% 0.12% 0.22% 1.19%
International Local (IGOV) -0.34% -0.05% -2.08% -1.56% 0.37%
Municipals
Short-Term (SUB) 0.01% -0.08% 0.24% 0.76% 2.01%
High Yield (HYD) -0.10% -2.10% -0.67% 0.41% 6.74%
Intermediate (MUB) -0.11% -1.58% -0.60% 0.21% 5.00%
Long-Term (MLN) -0.26% -1.92% -0.52% 1.01% 8.52%

Explore the related Explorers: Taxable → · Municipal → · Specialty →

Commodities

The commodities complex delivered a mixed performance, with strength in energy offset by weakness in precious metals and agriculture. WTI Crude oil (USO) gained 1.33%, continuing its strong one-month trend. In contrast, precious metals sold off, with Gold (GLD) falling 1.49% and Silver (SLV) dropping 2.13%. Wheat (WEAT) was a notable laggard in the agricultural space, declining 3.29%.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Broad Commodities (DJP) 0.02% 8.40% -6.05% 25.98% 40.34%
Agriculture
Sugar (CANE) 0.94% -1.74% -1.94% -1.38% -11.82%
Broad (DBA) 0.11% 3.15% -1.86% 7.80% 10.03%
Soybeans (SOYB) -0.08% 3.11% 1.66% 15.10% 18.60%
Corn (CORN) -0.62% 5.37% -5.56% -0.45% 2.24%
Wheat (WEAT) -3.29% 8.08% -1.24% 19.23% 9.47%
Energy
Brent Crude (BNO) 1.45% 23.81% -13.92% 77.90% 58.23%
WTI Crude (USO) 1.33% 21.35% -12.18% 86.77% 62.29%
Broad (DBE) 1.13% 19.15% -5.82% 78.87% 63.70%
Natural Gas (UNG) 0.50% -14.16% -5.09% -17.94% -25.98%
Industrial Metals
Copper (CPER) 0.56% 4.85% 8.29% 13.16% 44.12%
Broad (DBB) 0.48% 4.40% 1.21% 9.68% 34.18%
Precious Metals
Platinum (PPLT) -0.47% 5.87% -16.80% -19.76% 26.98%
Gold (GLD) -1.49% 0.86% -12.30% -6.25% 22.64%
Broad (DBP) -1.56% 0.49% -14.42% -9.61% 26.94%
Silver (SLV) -2.13% -2.08% -21.45% -18.72% 57.14%
Palladium (PALL) -2.60% 5.21% -16.16% -20.11% 6.89%

Explore the Commodities Explorer →

Cryptocurrency

Digital assets saw a broad-based decline, moving opposite to the gains in U.S. equities. Ethereum-linked products (ETHA) led the retreat with a 3.03% loss, while Bitcoin trackers (IBIT) were close behind, falling 2.89%. This negative performance added to what has been a challenging year for the asset class. The move continues to weigh on year-to-date figures, with most major crypto ETFs down more than 28% since January.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Ethereum (ETHA) -3.03% 18.33% -17.62% -37.27% -50.23%
Multi-Coin (NCIQ) -2.97% 7.46% -18.14% -30.93% -49.35%
Bitcoin (IBIT) -2.89% 7.06% -17.73% -28.22% -46.26%
XRP (XRP) -2.55% 1.72% -22.64% -42.20%
Solana (SOLZ) -2.28% -1.03% -12.32% -42.01% -61.18%

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What to Watch Today

Investors will begin the new trading week on Monday without any major scheduled economic data releases, corporate earnings reports, or Federal Reserve commentary. The absence of significant catalysts may lead market participants to focus on digesting last week’s performance and broader market sentiment. Trading activity could remain subdued pending the release of key economic figures later in the week.

This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.