Nvidia Shakeup Rattles Tech as Energy and Crude Outperform

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Macro Overview

U.S. equities edged lower on Thursday as the S&P 500 (IVV) fell 0.30%, with the decline concentrated in technology following reports that Nvidia’s CEO was ousted amid a swirl of allegations, a headline that briefly pushed the Nasdaq down 1.5% intraday before paring losses. Developed ex-U.S. markets (EFA) underperformed the U.S., down 0.62% on the day though still ahead on a YTD basis at 10.01%. Emerging markets (EEM) were the weakest major equity bucket, sliding 1.45% and now down 7.57% over the past month. Fixed income also came under pressure, with the U.S. Aggregate Bond (AGG) down 0.65% amid weak Treasury auction demand, while broad commodities (DJP) bucked the risk-off tone, rising 0.27% on a crude oil rebound. The clearest outlier was energy, with crude-linked exposure posting some of the strongest single-day gains across the entire dataset even as broader risk assets retreated.

U.S. Size & Style

Size and style performance was uniformly negative on the day, but value held up better than growth across the cap spectrum. Large Value (IVE) declined 0.43%, outpacing Large Growth (IVW), which slipped 0.26% but carries a far steeper one-month drawdown of 7.47% tied to tech weakness. Small caps lagged the broader market meaningfully, with Small Cap (IJR) down 1.18% and Small Growth (IJT) off 1.30%, consistent with reported new-low expansion and the Russell 2000’s underperformance versus the S&P 500. Mid-cap segments also underperformed large caps, with Mid Growth (IJK) down 1.23%. RSI readings remain in neutral territory across the size/style complex, with Large Growth’s RSI of 44 reflecting the recent technology-driven softness relative to Large Value’s 58.

Name (Ticker)1-Day1 Month3 MonthYTD1 Year
Large Value (IVE)-0.43%3.33%2.55%15.29%15.83%
Large Cap (IVV)-0.30%-2.64%-1.70%11.99%12.10%
Large Growth (IVW)-0.26%-7.47%-5.33%8.86%8.67%
Mid Value (IJJ)-1.12%3.99%-2.59%12.20%14.58%
Mid Cap (IJH)-1.18%0.94%-5.10%12.78%14.10%
Mid Growth (IJK)-1.23%-1.88%-7.57%12.96%13.30%
Small Value (IJS)-1.05%2.89%-3.97%18.10%19.92%
Small Cap (IJR)-1.18%2.31%-5.29%17.99%19.22%
Small Growth (IJT)-1.30%1.68%-6.70%17.52%18.20%

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U.S. Sectors & Industries

Energy (XLE) was the sole sector gainer, up 1.51% on the day as crude prices rebounded, extending its YTD gain to 46.73% even as its RSI of 47 and only 29% of constituents above their 50-day moving average suggest underlying weakness beneath the headline bounce. Technology (XLK) fell 0.34% on the session, a more modest decline than the intraday Nasdaq plunge implied, but the sector’s one-month drop of 11.50% and RSI of 42 reflect sustained pressure tied to Nvidia-related headlines. Materials (XLB) was the weakest sector, down 1.28%, followed by Communication Services (XLC) at -0.96% and Industrials (XLI) at -0.89%. Ten of eleven S&P sectors finished in negative territory, with defensive groups like Health Care (XLV) and Utilities (XLU) posting only marginal losses of 0.59% and 0.02%, respectively, with XLU’s RSI at 64 and XLV’s at 65 approaching overbought levels.

Name (Ticker)1-Day1 Month3 MonthYTD1 Year
S&P 500 (SPY)-0.35%-2.70%-1.75%11.90%11.98%
Energy (XLE)1.51%-2.55%6.05%46.73%46.61%
Utilities (XLU)-0.02%5.24%0.67%4.76%0.21%
Technology (XLK)-0.34%-11.50%-7.89%21.13%18.84%
Consumer Staples (XLP)-0.43%7.88%7.73%19.49%21.01%
Consumer Discretionary (XLY)-0.44%7.29%2.40%1.50%2.08%
Real Estate (XLRE)-0.52%5.82%0.54%12.56%10.98%
Health Care (XLV)-0.59%9.21%11.94%22.83%24.95%
Financials (XLF)-0.72%5.74%0.85%7.57%10.16%
Industrials (XLI)-0.89%0.17%-8.60%10.10%10.99%
Communication Services (XLC)-0.96%-3.49%-2.15%-7.81%-4.10%
Materials (XLB)-1.28%5.87%0.00%16.89%20.88%

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Global Thematic

Energy infrastructure and midstream themes led thematic performance, with the Global X MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF (MLPX) up 1.01% and the Invesco SteelPath MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF (PIPE) gaining 0.98%, consistent with the broader crude rebound. On the opposite end, risk-sensitive and speculative themes were hit hardest: the Roundhill Neocloud ETF (NCLD) tumbled 8.81%, likely reflecting direct exposure to AI infrastructure sentiment following the Nvidia leadership news. Uranium-related funds also sold off sharply, with the Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ) down 6.75% and the Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM) off 5.02%. Cannabis exposure via the AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS) fell 5.39%, rounding out a day where high-beta thematic baskets broadly underperformed.

Name (Ticker)1-Day
Leaders
Global X MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF (MLPX)1.01%
Invesco SteelPath MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF (PIPE)0.98%
Tortoise Electrification Infrastructure ETF (TPZ)0.80%
Pacer American Energy Infrastructure ETF (USAI)0.69%
Neuberger Energy Transition & Infrastructure ETF (NBET)0.69%
Laggards
Roundhill Neocloud ETF (NCLD)-8.81%
Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ)-6.75%
AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS)-5.39%
Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (SGDJ)-5.33%
Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM)-5.02%

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Developed ex-U.S. & Emerging Markets

Developed markets were broadly lower, with the Netherlands (EWN) the weakest at -1.95% and Japan (EWJ) down 0.71%, while Switzerland (EWL) was essentially flat, up 0.02%. Emerging markets saw sharper losses, led by Taiwan (EWT), down 2.93% on the day despite a robust 53.08% YTD gain tied to semiconductor exposure that remains vulnerable to Nvidia-related sentiment swings. South Africa (EZA) fell 2.24% and Brazil (EWZ) declined 2.03%, extending a steep one-month slide of 27.01%. Indonesia (EIDO) was the lone bright spot, rising 2.55% on the day even as it remains down 43.01% year-to-date, underscoring the divergence within the emerging markets complex.

Name (Ticker)1-Day1 Month3 MonthYTD1 Year
Developed Markets ex-U.S.
Developed ex-U.S. (EFA)-0.62%0.93%-4.14%10.01%11.40%
Australia (EWA)-0.65%1.88%-2.27%13.11%13.37%
Canada (EWC)-0.58%1.14%-2.66%12.02%17.78%
France (EWQ)-0.27%6.26%-7.77%-0.29%-0.11%
Germany (EWG)-0.49%4.52%-2.42%2.73%4.75%
Hong Kong (EWH)0.48%5.51%3.21%10.78%5.03%
Japan (EWJ)-0.71%-6.01%-6.46%13.89%13.16%
Netherlands (EWN)-1.95%-1.71%-8.03%14.95%15.31%
South Korea (EWY)-1.64%-14.54%-17.34%49.54%55.01%
Switzerland (EWL)0.02%9.08%1.96%10.15%13.76%
U.K. (EWU)-0.13%2.27%-1.26%10.16%13.51%
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets (EEM)-1.45%-7.57%-8.00%12.31%12.15%
Brazil (EWZ)-2.03%-27.01%-6.14%0.99%0.05%
China (MCHI)-1.85%-4.60%-9.68%-16.64%-21.50%
India (INDA)-0.08%11.20%3.20%-4.63%-5.52%
Indonesia (EIDO)2.55%-10.28%-17.49%-43.01%-41.64%
Malaysia (EWM)-0.87%-2.02%-7.18%-2.08%2.59%
Mexico (EWW)-0.12%5.98%1.52%13.60%17.79%
South Africa (EZA)-2.24%2.49%-4.35%-2.99%3.43%
Taiwan (EWT)-2.93%-14.89%-8.41%53.08%55.53%
Thailand (THD)-0.69%-5.21%-7.62%16.01%17.84%

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Fixed Income

Fixed income broadly declined alongside equities, with longer-duration segments bearing the brunt of the selloff following reports of weak Treasury auction demand. Long-Term Treasuries (BLV) fell 1.30% and SPDR Long-Term Treasuries (SPTL) dropped 1.33%, both now down more than 4% year-to-date. Shorter-duration exposure held up better, with Short-Term Treasuries (SPTS) off just 0.14% and Ultrashort (BIL) flat on the day. Credit-sensitive categories also softened, with Preferred Stock (PFF) down 1.17% and Convertibles (CWB) off 1.23%, reflecting their equity-like sensitivity to the day’s risk-off tone. The move came as weak indirect-bidder demand at a Treasury auction and hawkish Fed commentary weighed on rate-sensitive assets.

Name (Ticker)1-Day1 Month3 MonthYTD1 Year
Multisector
Short-Term (BSV)-0.26%0.38%-0.45%0.30%0.88%
Core Enhanced (IUSB)-0.63%0.91%-1.27%-1.19%-1.04%
Core (AGG)-0.65%0.95%-1.23%-1.38%-1.26%
Long-Term (BLV)-1.30%1.97%-1.75%-4.20%-5.49%
Government
Ultrashort (BIL)0.00%0.34%0.92%3.14%3.68%
Short-Term (SPTS)-0.14%0.33%0.01%1.01%1.66%
Inflation Protected (TIP)-0.47%0.41%-1.86%-1.27%-1.76%
Intermediate (SPTI)-0.54%0.82%-1.39%-1.78%-1.57%
Long-Term (SPTL)-1.33%2.44%-1.68%-4.51%-6.34%
Specialty
Bank Loans (BKLN)-0.10%0.82%1.64%3.06%4.36%
High Yield (HYG)-0.48%0.12%-1.83%0.32%1.39%
Corporate (SPIB)-0.52%0.44%-1.12%-0.62%0.02%
Mortgage Backed (MBB)-0.72%1.07%-1.82%-1.50%-1.10%
Preferred Stock (PFF)-1.17%-3.55%-7.56%-5.38%-5.16%
Convertible (CWB)-1.23%-6.77%-12.05%5.37%3.17%
International & EM
International USD (BNDX)-0.34%0.98%-0.32%0.26%-0.38%
Emerging Local (EMLC)-0.49%-1.24%-3.03%-0.33%1.57%
Emerging USD (EMB)-0.79%0.73%-2.47%-0.86%-0.31%
International Local (IGOV)-1.02%0.28%-3.64%-4.73%-4.86%
Municipals
Short-Term (SUB)-0.32%0.95%0.00%1.13%1.75%
High Yield (HYD)-0.82%2.90%-1.31%-0.05%1.01%
Intermediate (MUB)-0.83%3.04%-1.10%-0.30%-0.01%
Long-Term (MLN)-1.20%4.11%-3.00%-0.80%-0.94%

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Commodities

Energy commodities were the standout performers, with Brent Crude (BNO) up 3.85% and WTI Crude (USO) rising 3.25%, extending year-to-date gains above 109% for both and aligning with Thursday’s energy-price rebound. Natural Gas (UNG) also advanced 2.35% on the day despite remaining down 14.68% year-to-date. Precious metals moved sharply in the opposite direction, with Palladium (PALL) falling 3.74%, Silver (SLV) down 3.28%, and Gold (GLD) off 2.82%, all now showing double-digit declines over the past quarter. Agricultural commodities were also broadly weaker, with Wheat (WEAT) down 2.75%, underscoring the divergence between energy strength and softness across metals and grains.

Name (Ticker)1-Day1 Month3 MonthYTD1 Year
Broad Commodities (DJP)0.27%-7.62%-0.72%28.98%29.05%
Agriculture
Broad (DBA)-0.23%-7.52%-5.53%3.06%3.19%
Soybeans (SOYB)-0.89%-6.37%1.90%17.66%9.68%
Sugar (CANE)-1.26%-10.49%2.99%12.87%17.70%
Corn (CORN)-1.61%-7.42%-6.10%-3.61%-5.20%
Wheat (WEAT)-2.75%-11.82%-11.45%8.01%0.56%
Energy
Brent Crude (BNO)3.85%-6.31%20.29%115.43%112.80%
WTI Crude (USO)3.25%-3.28%14.74%111.21%109.30%
Broad (DBE)2.71%-6.36%14.29%106.47%95.64%
Natural Gas (UNG)2.35%-4.21%2.55%-14.68%-28.60%
Industrial Metals
Broad (DBB)-1.10%-3.22%-4.55%6.10%14.68%
Copper (CPER)-1.30%-8.34%-6.95%6.52%18.22%
Precious Metals
Platinum (PPLT)-1.37%-10.22%-13.99%-26.46%-7.03%
Gold (GLD)-2.82%-7.13%-12.36%-10.45%-8.06%
Broad (DBP)-2.85%-8.80%-14.41%-15.28%-8.24%
Silver (SLV)-3.28%-16.98%-23.60%-29.96%-6.62%
Palladium (PALL)-3.74%-12.57%-27.48%-38.02%-32.90%

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Cryptocurrency

Digital assets sold off sharply in tandem with the broader risk-off move tied to the Nvidia news, with every major crypto exposure in the dataset posting losses exceeding 3% on the day. Solana (SOLZ) led declines at -4.47%, followed by Bitcoin (IBIT) at -4.45% and Multi-Coin exposure (NCIQ) at -4.05%. Ethereum (ETHA) declined 3.23% and XRP (XRP) fell 3.03%, both deepening year-to-date losses above 32%. The uniformity of the decline across the crypto complex suggests a broad de-risking move rather than asset-specific catalysts, consistent with the day’s weak breadth across equities and high-beta thematic funds.

Name (Ticker)1-Day1 Month3 MonthYTD1 Year
Solana (SOLZ)-4.47%-25.16%6.43%-35.91%-48.56%
Bitcoin (IBIT)-4.45%-13.87%12.45%-18.71%-29.92%
Multi-Coin (NCIQ)-4.05%-15.60%11.09%-22.81%-34.16%
Ethereum (ETHA)-3.23%-20.04%7.20%-32.32%-41.14%
XRP (XRP)-3.03%-24.13%2.58%-43.76%—

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What to Watch Today

Friday brings the October Producer Price Index at 8:30 AM ET, a high-importance inflation print that will shape near-term rate expectations following this week’s weak Treasury auction demand. Multiple Fed speakers are scheduled, including Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr at 5:00 AM ET, Austan Goolsbee at 6:30 AM ET, and John Williams at 1:30 PM ET, offering potential commentary on the policy outlook. The Fed’s weekly balance sheet and reserve balances data are due around 11:30 AM ET, alongside short-term Treasury bill auctions later in the day. On the earnings front, Japan’s three major banking groups—Mitsubishi UFJ, Sumitomo Mitsui, and Mizuho—report half-year results, with smaller-cap names including Century Casinos and Milestone Pharmaceuticals also reporting before the open.

This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.