International Equities Surge as Commodities Cool

Share

Macro Overview

Equity markets posted broad gains across global segments during Monday’s session, with international benchmarks outpacing domestic peers. Emerging Markets (EEM) advanced 3.00% to lead the global rotation, supported by strength in Asia and Latin America, while Developed ex-U.S. (EFA) climbed 2.40%. Domestically, the S&P 500 (IVV) secured a 1.08% return as investor appetite favored risk assets despite sustained pressure in the commodity complex. The Broad Commodities index (DJP) declined 3.87%, driven largely by energy market weakness, while Fixed Income segments maintained a modest upward trajectory across the duration curve.

U.S. Size & Style

The domestic equity complex witnessed robust buying pressure down the capitalization spectrum, favoring smaller companies and the growth factor. Small Growth (IJT) and Mid Growth (IJK) led the style box with gains of 2.12% and 2.09% respectively, as cyclical tailwinds overshadowed recent broader market consolidation. Conversely, Large Value (IVE) lagged the broader advance, returning 0.95% on the day but remaining one of the stronger performers on a year-to-date basis with a narrow loss of 0.75%. This intraday size rotation indicates a potential stabilization in lower-capitalization equities following their pronounced multi-month underperformance relative to large-cap counterparts.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Large Value (IVE) 0.95% -4.08% -1.32% -0.75% 12.35%
Large Cap (IVV) 1.08% -3.71% -4.47% -3.63% 17.63%
Large Growth (IVW) 1.28% -3.30% -7.20% -6.14% 22.30%
Mid Value (IJJ) 1.93% -6.37% -1.84% -0.46% 10.67%
Mid Cap (IJH) 1.84% -5.13% 0.02% 1.87% 15.65%
Mid Growth (IJK) 2.09% -3.87% 1.88% 4.13% 20.50%
Small Value (IJS) 1.84% -4.58% 1.59% 2.79% 20.26%
Small Cap (IJR) 2.06% -4.58% 0.28% 2.41% 18.23%
Small Growth (IJT) 2.12% -4.67% -1.02% 1.85% 16.19%

U.S. Sectors & Industries

Sector performance displayed a definitively risk-on orientation, spearheaded by Consumer Discretionary (XLY) rising 2.41% alongside a 1.66% gain in Materials (XLB). Despite trailing on the day, Energy (XLE) advanced 1.19% and continues to lead long-term metrics, boasting a 34.07% trailing one-year return while currently screening as technically overbought with an RSI of 76.86. Defensive sectors severely lagged the broader market, with Health Care (XLV), Consumer Staples (XLP), and Real Estate (XLRE) all screening as technically oversold with RSI readings below 30. Health Care registered the weakest daily performance, adding a marginal 0.02% as capital rotated into higher-beta segments of the economy.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) 2.41% -4.05% -9.69% -7.60% 12.71%
Materials (XLB) 1.66% -9.82% 4.39% 5.31% 13.53%
Technology (XLK) 1.35% -1.01% -6.05% -4.76% 28.96%
Energy (XLE) 1.19% 8.82% 34.87% 34.23% 34.07%
Industrials (XLI) 1.13% -6.48% 4.15% 5.40% 25.31%
Utilities (XLU) 0.99% -3.41% 5.80% 5.62% 17.77%
Financial (XLF) 0.90% -2.38% -10.66% -9.58% 1.50%
Communication Services (XLC) 0.75% -1.99% -3.68% -3.95% 17.25%
Real Estate (XLRE) 0.74% -6.23% 1.77% 1.34% 1.87%
Consumer Staples (XLP) 0.42% -8.24% 5.32% 5.09% 5.72%
Health Care (XLV) 0.02% -8.31% -6.21% -6.10% 0.89%

Global Thematic

Thematic equities experienced significant dispersion, with metals and highly speculative segments capturing the bulk of daily momentum. The Sprott Copper Miners ETF (COPP) advanced 7.16% to lead the space, closely followed by the Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (CNBS) which returned 6.75%. At the bottom of the ledger, thematic decliners were relatively insulated from severe losses, with the Simplify Propel Opportunities ETF (SURI) retreating 0.69% and the Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) shedding 0.29%.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day
Leaders
Sprott Copper Miners ETF (COPP) 7.16%
Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (CNBS) 6.75%
Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX) 6.47%
AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS) 6.39%
Sprott Critical Materials ETF (SETM) 5.80%
Laggards
Simplify Propel Opportunities ETF (SURI) -0.69%
Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) -0.29%
Roundhill GLP1 & Weight Loss ETF (OZEM) -0.11%
Global X Defense Tech ETF (SHLD) -0.11%
Global X Aging Population ETF (AGNG) 0.05%

Developed ex-U.S. & Emerging Markets

International equities delivered outsized intraday returns, anchored by a notable 6.38% advance in South Korea (EWY) which propelled its trailing one-year return to 140.69%. The broader Emerging Markets index found additional strength from Brazil (EWZ), which added 5.11%, while Indonesia (EIDO) gained 2.05% despite remaining deeply oversold with an RSI of 29.33.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Developed Markets
Germany (EWG) 2.93% -10.43% -7.35% -7.48% 4.93%
Australia (EWA) 2.89% -4.62% 5.56% 7.25% 23.81%
Japan (EWJ) 2.89% -8.58% 2.97% 3.48% 22.55%
France (EWQ) 2.78% -9.79% -4.59% -4.78% 7.63%
Netherlands (EWN) 2.23% -8.20% 1.67% 1.33% 26.02%
Switzerland (EWL) 1.99% -10.70% -4.92% -4.22% 10.30%
Canada (EWC) 1.90% -4.79% -0.59% 0.54% 34.72%
U.K. (EWU) 1.62% -6.95% 1.32% 1.32% 23.51%
Hong Kong (EWH) 0.27% -5.89% 3.09% 5.32% 32.28%
Emerging Markets
South Korea (EWY) 6.38% -3.94% 44.35% 37.64% 140.69%
Brazil (EWZ) 5.11% -4.95% 16.82% 15.99% 46.29%
Thailand (THD) 3.59% -6.75% 10.85% 13.19% 31.54%
Taiwan (EWT) 3.47% -1.39% 15.46% 13.58% 50.31%
South Africa (EZA) 2.72% -17.47% 7.56% -6.57% 44.15%
India (INDA) 2.23% -9.47% -12.56% -11.88% -7.46%
Indonesia (EIDO) 2.05% -14.80% -16.78% -17.49% 2.43%
Mexico (EWW) 1.76% -10.61% 0.08% 2.55% 42.74%
Malaysia (EWM) 1.73% -1.90% 6.94% 7.60% 31.93%
China (MCHI) 0.69% -8.51% -8.37% -7.46% 2.11%

Fixed Income

The bond market experienced universal gains as yields compressed across the duration curve, favoring longer-dated and higher-beta credit instruments. The Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF (EMLC) posted the strongest performance across all major categories with a 1.32% advance, reflecting international risk appetite. Within domestic government debt, the Long-Term Treasury segment (SPTL) outperformed short-term and intermediate issues, gaining 0.65% as market participants priced in shifting macroeconomic expectations. Credit-sensitive areas also caught a bid, with Convertible Bonds (CWB) advancing 0.80% and High Yield (HYG) adding 0.66%, significantly outpacing core taxable and municipal alternatives.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Multisector
Taxable Long Term (BLV) 0.74% -3.45% -0.95% -0.82% 1.81%
Taxable Core (AGG) 0.38% -1.74% -0.14% -0.22% 4.30%
Taxable Core Enhanced (IUSB) 0.37% -1.77% -0.17% -0.26% 4.53%
Taxable Short-Term (BSV) 0.18% -0.85% 0.15% -0.04% 4.13%
Government
Government Long (SPTL) 0.65% -3.38% -0.63% -0.48% 0.31%
Government Intermediate (SPTI) 0.28% -1.47% -0.05% -0.22% 4.26%
Government Short (SPTS) 0.10% -0.46% 0.33% 0.12% 3.83%
Taxable Ultrashort (BIL) 0.01% 0.29% 0.87% 0.79% 4.00%
Inflation Protected (TIP) -0.03% -0.99% 0.33% 0.25% 3.59%
Specialty
Convertible (CWB) 0.80% -1.35% 2.59% 4.20% 21.04%
Taxable High Yield (HYG) 0.66% -1.29% -0.33% -0.50% 6.29%
Preferred Stock (PFF) 0.59% -3.24% -1.28% -1.00% 3.11%
Bank Loans (BKLN) 0.47% 0.96% -0.79% -0.98% 5.75%
Mortgage Backed (MBS) 0.41% -1.76% 0.07% -0.03% 5.44%
Corporate (SPIB) 0.36% -1.52% -0.11% -0.32% 5.37%
International & Emerging Markets
Emerging (EMLC) 1.32% -4.17% -1.08% -1.27% 12.20%
Emerging USD (EMB) 0.98% -3.34% -1.46% -1.48% 8.79%
International (IGOV) 0.76% -3.64% -1.32% -0.96% 5.96%
International USD (BNDX) 0.42% -1.96% -0.23% -0.21% 3.06%
Municipals
Municipal Long (MLN) 0.52% -1.38% -0.60% -0.08% 3.23%
Municipal High Yield (HYD) 0.52% -1.64% -0.72% -0.82% 1.65%
Municipal Intermediate (MUB) 0.47% -1.67% 0.17% -0.13% 3.81%
Municipal Short (SUB) 0.09% -0.54% 0.48% 0.35% 3.53%

Commodities

The commodities complex suffered a broad contraction, heavily weighted by a sharp selloff in global energy markets. Broad Commodities (DJP) shed 3.87% on the session as WTI Crude (USO) and Brent Crude (BNO) declined 8.95% and 9.52% respectively, signaling demand concerns or supply-side recalibration. Industrial metals provided a rare bright spot, with Copper (CPER) advancing 3.65% to pull the broader Industrial Metals index (DBB) into positive territory. Precious metals displayed mixed price action; Silver (SLV) rose 1.54% while Gold (GLD) declined 2.26%, reflecting a fragmented inflation-hedge trade.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Broad Commodities (DJP) -3.87% 8.28% 18.79% 21.01% 30.80%
Agriculture
Soybeans (SOYB) 0.46% 3.07% 9.26% 10.66% 14.32%
Sugar (CANE) 0.00% 11.88% 6.49% 7.12% -17.13%
Agriculture (DBA) -0.04% 3.35% 5.34% 5.17% 3.97%
Wheat (WEAT) -0.74% 3.51% 11.89% 13.57% -7.24%
Corn (CORN) -1.54% 5.05% 3.23% 4.40% -1.96%
Energy
Natural Gas (UNG) -5.33% -0.09% -9.07% -4.32% -43.71%
Energy (DBE) -8.06% 38.25% 56.83% 59.98% 53.51%
WTI Crude Oil (USO) -8.95% 36.66% 57.27% 59.86% 49.83%
Brent Crude Oil (BNO) -9.52% 41.28% 66.37% 69.07% 60.78%
Gasoline (UGA) -9.59% 32.45% 50.24% 53.67% 54.09%
Industrial Metals
Copper (CPER) 3.65% -6.03% -1.82% -4.09% 5.11%
Industrial Metals (DBB) 2.28% -3.55% 2.24% -0.39% 19.13%
Precious Metals
Silver (SLV) 1.54% -22.46% -3.66% -3.03% 108.10%
Palladium (PALL) 1.16% -18.87% -23.50% -10.96% 47.73%
Precious Metals (DBP) -1.52% -16.95% -3.64% 0.62% 53.34%
Gold (GLD) -2.26% -16.05% -2.32% 1.95% 45.08%
Platinum (PPLT) -2.37% -13.80% -18.23% -8.75% 89.17%

Cryptocurrency

Digital assets posted moderate gains, though performance remained tightly range-bound relative to the outsized moves observed in traditional equities. Solana (SOLZ) led the primary tokens with a 2.66% intraday return, despite carrying a 36.13% drawdown over the trailing one-year period. Ethereum (ETHA) and Bitcoin (IBIT) advanced 1.12% and 0.70% respectively, stabilizing following a volatile start to the first quarter. Multi-Coin (NCIQ) and XRP (XRP) rounded out the group with fractional positive returns, as the broader crypto landscape attempts to construct a technical base.

Name (Ticker) 1-Day 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
XRP (XRP) 0.12% 5.80% -23.81% -21.73%
Multi-Coin (NCIQ) 0.58% 10.11% -21.30% -20.86% -15.86%
Bitcoin (IBIT) 0.70% 9.58% -19.34% -19.34% -16.04%
Ethereum (ETHA) 1.12% 15.87% -27.39% -27.42% 9.04%
Solana (SOLZ) 2.66% 16.53% -27.19% -26.96% -36.13%

What to Watch Today

Market participants will pivot their focus toward upcoming macroeconomic data prints that could dictate the trajectory of interest rate expectations. Key inflation metrics and localized manufacturing surveys are slated for release, providing insight into the health of the consumer and industrial base. Additionally, commentary from central bank officials will be heavily scrutinized for any shifts in forward guidance following the global equity rotation witnessed in the prior session. Investors should anticipate elevated volatility across rate-sensitive sectors and energy markets as these narratives unfold.

This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.