December Debut: Markets Pull Back Amid Crypto Rout & Global Rate Fears

Share

Macro Overview

December trading began with a distinct “risk-off” tone as markets pulled back following a strong November. Equities faced pressure from a sharp sell-off in the cryptocurrency complex and renewed concerns over a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan, which weighed on global sentiment. The S&P 500 (IVV) declined -0.47%, snapping its recent winning streak, while small-caps also struggled, with the Small Cap (IJR) falling -0.54%.

U.S. Size & Style

Selling pressure was broad-based across market capitalization and style, leaving a sea of red on the board. There was little divergence between style factors, as Large Value (IVE) and Large Growth (IVW) fell -0.52% and -0.51%, respectively. Small Growth (IJT) was the day’s worst performer, dropping -0.87%.

Name (Ticker) 1 Day WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Large Value (IVE) -0.52% -0.52% 1.21% 4.08% 12.08% 4.34%
Large Cap (IVV) -0.47% -0.47% -0.23% 5.77% 17.21% 14.44%
Large Growth (IVW) -0.51% -0.51% -1.45% 7.16% 21.54% 22.38%
Mid Value (IJJ) -0.36% -0.36% 2.89% 1.31% 6.56% -0.60%
Mid Cap (IJH) -0.57% -0.57% 1.59% 1.56% 6.83% -0.83%
Mid Growth (IJK) -0.84% -0.84% 0.47% 1.69% 6.69% -1.55%
Small Value (IJS) -0.20% -0.20% 2.66% 3.75% 5.49% -1.75%
Small Cap (IJR) -0.54% -0.54% 2.05% 2.23% 5.44% -3.08%
Small Growth (IJT) -0.87% -0.87% 1.58% 0.84% 5.46% -4.29%

U.S. Sectors & Industries

Sector performance was largely negative, with only three sectors managing to post gains. Energy (XLE) was the clear standout, rising +0.96%, bolstered by strength in industries like Oil & Gas Eqip. & Svcs (XES), which gained +1.18%. On the downside, interest-rate sensitive areas lagged significantly; Utilities (XLU) tumbled -2.34%, and Health Care (XLV) fell -1.50%, dragged down by weakness in Biotech (XBI), which lost -2.69%.

Sector (Ticker) 1 Day WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Energy (XLE) +0.96% 0.96% 3.62% 1.89% 9.25% -1.22%
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) +0.06% 0.06% -1.39% 2.28% 6.15% 7.33%
Technology (XLK) +0.05% 0.05% -4.77% 9.24% 23.72% 23.28%
Consumer Staples (XLP) -0.10% -0.10% 3.95% -1.16% 2.79% -2.16%
Materials (XLB) -0.25% -0.25% 4.10% -2.90% 7.53% -4.04%
Communication Services (XLC) -0.47% -0.47% 0.03% 3.47% 19.68% 18.05%
Financial (XLF) -0.83% -0.83% 0.99% -1.71% 10.56% 4.52%
Real Estate (XLRE) -1.39% -1.39% 0.46% -2.15% 3.36% -5.59%
Industrials (XLI) -1.46% -1.46% -2.33% 0.04% 16.10% 6.78%
Health Care (XLV) -1.50% -1.50% 7.65% 13.51% 14.38% 7.22%
Utilities (XLU) -2.34% -2.34% -0.66% 5.67% 19.37% 9.84%

Global Thematic

Thematic performance showed massive divergence, with Cannabis themes exploding higher while crypto-linked funds suffered heavy losses. AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS) surged +10.63% and Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (CNBS) jumped +8.82%, likely on regulatory speculation. Conversely, the “risk-off” mood hit blockchain hard, with Global X Hydrogen ETF (HYDR) down -4.80% and First Trust SkyBridge Crypto Industry (CRPT) falling -4.56%.

Developed Markets ex-U.S.

International developed markets mirrored the U.S. weakness, with the broad Dev ex-U.S. (EFA) slipping -0.49%. Canada (EWC) was a notable laggard, dropping -0.99%, while Hong Kong (EWH) and Netherlands (EWN) were rare bright spots, posting gains of +0.09% and +0.26% respectively.

Country (Ticker) 1-Day % Change WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Dev ex-U.S. (EFA) -0.49% -0.49% 0.24% 3.54% 27.44% 23.68%
Australia (EWA) -0.46% -0.46% -3.88% -4.99% 9.48% 0.49%
Canada (EWC) -0.99% -0.99% 2.84% 6.95% 30.34% 23.08%
France (EWQ) -0.36% -0.36% 0.29% 4.27% 26.57% 26.22%
Germany (EWG) -0.98% -0.98% -0.52% -3.25% 29.44% 27.64%
Hong Kong (EWH) +0.09% 0.09% 3.34% 5.20% 36.46% 33.04%
Japan (EWJ) -0.58% -0.58% -1.10% 5.43% 23.99% 21.25%
Netherlands (EWN) +0.26% 0.26% -0.82% 10.04% 32.84% 30.81%
South Korea (EWY) -0.28% -0.28% -6.58% 25.44% 78.07% 61.62%
Switzerland (EWL) -0.69% -0.69% 3.72% 3.78% 27.31% 21.42%
U.K. (EWU) -0.51% -0.51% 0.61% 3.55% 29.23% 24.94%

Emerging Markets

Emerging markets showed relative resilience compared to developed peers, with Emerging (EEM) down just -0.07%. China (MCHI) outperformed significantly, rising +0.74%, while Thailand (THD) led the group with a gain of +1.86%. India (INDA) lagged, falling -0.69%.

Country (Ticker) 1-Day % Change WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Emerging (EEM) -0.07% -0.07% -1.84% 8.86% 31.04% 28.82%
Brazil (EWZ) -0.62% -0.62% 7.15% 13.22% 51.08% 39.32%
China (MCHI) +0.74% 0.74% -1.43% 2.20% 35.02% 36.23%
India (INDA) -0.69% -0.69% 0.67% 4.52% 3.21% -0.10%
Indonesia (EIDO) +0.64% 0.64% 2.79% 6.34% 4.41% -1.47%
Malaysia (EWM) +0.64% 0.64% 2.90% 6.96% 10.74% 12.45%
Mexico (EWW) +0.06% 0.06% 2.90% 10.53% 48.87% 43.07%
South Africa (EZA) +1.06% 1.06% 5.77% 16.96% 62.84% 51.50%
Taiwan (EWT) -0.59% -0.59% -3.78% 9.03% 23.90% 24.60%
Thailand (THD) +1.86% 1.86% -0.92% 5.05% 1.81% -1.73%

Fixed Income

Treasury yields rose, pushing prices lower across the duration curve. Government Long (SPTL) took the hardest hit, falling -1.18%. Taxable Ultrashort (BIL) was the only category to stay green, inching up +0.01%, while Taxable Core (AGG) declined -0.43%.

Category (Ticker) 1 Day WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Taxable Core (AGG) -0.43% -0.43% 0.17% 1.93% 7.03% 5.22%
Taxable Core Enhanced (IUSB) -0.39% -0.39% 0.24% 1.91% 7.19% 5.56%
Taxable Multisector (PYLD) -0.22% -0.22% 0.52% 2.31% 8.89% 8.47%
Taxable Ultrashort (BIL) +0.01% 0.01% 0.30% 0.98% 3.81% 4.23%
Taxable Short-Term (BSV) -0.11% -0.11% 0.45% 1.09% 5.62% 5.57%
Taxable Long Term (BLV) -1.04% -1.04% -0.49% 3.60% 7.26% 1.90%
Government Short (SPTS) -0.10% -0.10% 0.37% 1.00% 4.60% 4.99%
Government Intermediate (SPTI) -0.31% -0.31% 0.49% 1.30% 7.41% 6.11%
Government Long (SPTL) -1.18% -1.18% -0.77% 3.65% 6.27% 0.52%
Inflation Protected (TIP) -0.39% -0.39% -0.18% 0.57% 7.01% 5.18%
Corporate (SPIB) -0.20% -0.20% 0.59% 1.69% 7.58% 6.73%
Taxable High Yield (HYG) -0.18% -0.18% 0.57% 1.45% 7.87% 7.04%
Bank Loans (BKLN) -0.10% -0.10% 0.57% 1.66% 5.85% 6.25%
Preferred Stock (PFF) -0.40% -0.40% -0.69% -0.44% 3.60% -0.09%
Convertible (CWB) -0.50% -0.50% -3.14% 4.86% 17.41% 12.31%
Mortgage Backed (MBS) -0.36% -0.36% 0.23% 2.23% 7.84% 5.95%
International USD (BNDX) -0.31% -0.31% -0.50% 1.03% 3.08% 2.28%
International (IGOV) -0.33% -0.33% -0.50% -1.05% 9.21% 5.12%
Emerging USD (EMB) -0.35% -0.35% 0.15% 3.73% 13.10% 10.58%
Emerging (EMLC) -0.23% -0.23% 1.21% 2.78% 16.89% 14.27%
Municipal Short (SUB) -0.07% -0.07% 0.29% 0.28% 3.13% 3.19%
Municipal Intermediate (MUB) -0.25% -0.25% -0.04% 3.40% 3.27% 1.89%
Municipal Long (MLN) -0.28% -0.28% -0.45% 5.19% 1.37% -0.14%
Municipal High Yield (HYD) -0.33% -0.33% 0.30% 4.39% 2.09% 0.96%

Commodities

Commodities defied the broader market slump, led by a surge in Natural Gas (UNG), which popped +3.26%. Precious metals also shone, with Silver (SLV) rallying +2.56% and Gold (GLD) adding +0.48%, as investors sought safety. However, agriculture remained weak, with Sugar (CANE) tumbling -2.56%.

Commodity (Ticker) 1-Day % Change WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Broad Commodities (DJP) +0.56% 0.56% 4.05% 10.14% 18.51% 19.86%
Energy (DBE) +0.23% 0.23% -0.25% 0.41% 2.90% 7.05%
WTI Crude Oil (USO) -0.01% -0.01% -2.07% -5.05% -5.94% -0.77%
Brent Crude Oil (BNO) +0.07% 0.07% -1.29% -3.73% -2.54% 0.66%
Natural Gas (UNG) +3.26% 3.26% 14.79% 18.55% -9.52% 5.41%
Gasoline (UGA) +0.63% 0.63% 2.72% 5.96% 6.94% 11.73%
Precious Metals (DBP) +0.81% 0.81% 8.05% 24.64% 63.51% 61.52%
Gold (GLD) +0.48% 0.48% 5.88% 22.54% 60.97% 58.70%
Silver (SLV) +2.56% 2.56% 19.34% 45.12% 99.47% 88.11%
Platinum (PPLT) -0.79% -0.79% 5.47% 20.90% 82.29% 73.89%
Palladium (PALL) -1.83% -1.83% -1.27% 28.50% 55.65% 44.06%
Industrial Metals (DBB) +0.14% 0.14% 0.27% 11.67% 16.76% 14.46%
Copper (CPER) +0.03% 0.03% 2.41% 14.79% 28.34% 25.16%
Agriculture (DBA) -0.49% -0.49% -0.30% -5.33% -1.13% 2.28%
Corn (CORN) -0.36% -0.36% 0.64% 1.92% -4.60% 0.21%
Soybeans (SOYB) -0.55% -0.55% 1.43% 4.82% 9.26% 10.71%
Wheat (WEAT) -0.48% -0.48% -2.17% -3.08% -13.94% -13.40%
Sugar (CANE) -2.56% -2.56% 2.26% -12.84% -16.80% -23.98%

Cryptocurrency

The crypto market experienced a sharp correction, significantly weighing on overall market sentiment. Ethereum (ETHA) led the decline, plunging -9.50%, while Solana (SOLZ) dropped -9.22%. Bitcoin (IBIT) was not spared, falling -5.92% on the day.

Asset (Ticker) 1-Day % Change WTD 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year
Ethereum (ETHA) -9.50% -9.50% -29.26% -36.72% -17.87% -23.61%
Solana (SOLZ) -9.22% -9.22% -34.65% -41.00%
XRP -7.77% -7.77%
Multi-Coin (NCIQ) -7.51% -7.51% -23.59% -25.39%
Bitcoin (IBIT) -5.92% -5.92% -22.15% -21.06% -8.58% -12.15%

What to Watch Today

All eyes will be on the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report, released this morning at 10:00 AM ET. This data point is a critical gauge of labor market demand and will be scrutinized by the Federal Reserve as they assess the need for further policy adjustments. A higher-than-expected number of job openings could reignite fears of wage inflation, potentially pressuring stocks further, while a cooling number would likely reinforce expectations for a rate cut at the upcoming December meeting.

For a deeper dive into the data, access today’s full Daily ETF Data Pack.

This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.