Broad Declines as Yields Stay Elevated; Energy Shines

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Macro Overview

U.S. equities slipped modestly on month- and quarter-end trading, with the S&P 500 (IVV) down 0.22% as stronger-than-expected revisions to prior economic activity kept Treasury yields elevated and pressured risk sentiment into the close. Developed ex-U.S. markets (EFA) underperformed with a 0.62% decline, while Emerging Markets (EEM) lagged further, falling 0.91% on the day despite a 22.69% year-to-date gain. Fixed income was comparatively steady, with the U.S. Aggregate Bond index (AGG) off just 0.06%, reflecting the limited incremental move in yields despite their multiyear-high backdrop. Broad Commodities (DJP) stood out as the session’s bright spot, rising 0.55% and extending a 36.98% year-to-date advance, driven largely by continued strength in energy-linked components.

U.S. Size & Style

Style and size performance was uniformly negative on the day, with large-cap value (IVE) down 0.46% and showing an oversold RSI of 33, while large-cap growth (IVW) held up relatively better, slipping just 0.06%. Mid- and small-cap segments bore the brunt of selling pressure, with mid-cap value (IJJ) down 0.88% and small-cap value (IJS) and small-cap core (IJR) each falling more than 0.6%. RSI readings across mid- and small-cap value and core strategies have dropped into oversold territory, with IJJ, IJS, and IJR all registering readings of 25 or below, alongside breadth metrics showing only 13-19% of constituents trading above their 50-day moving average. Large-cap growth’s relative resilience, supported by a 15.73% year-to-date gain, continues to widen the performance gap versus smaller-cap value cohorts, which remain negative over the trailing month.

Name (Ticker)1-Day1 Month3 MonthYTD1 Year
Large Value (IVE)-0.46%-3.10%0.94%8.90%12.36%
Large Cap (IVV)-0.22%-0.35%2.56%12.73%15.78%
Large Growth (IVW)-0.06%2.00%3.54%15.73%18.29%
Mid Value (IJJ)-0.88%-5.64%-6.41%5.79%7.98%
Mid Cap (IJH)-0.58%-4.22%-6.40%9.88%11.68%
Mid Growth (IJK)-0.29%-2.96%-6.55%13.58%15.00%
Small Value (IJS)-0.66%-5.84%-5.88%13.77%17.55%
Small Cap (IJR)-0.64%-5.53%-7.94%14.13%15.97%
Small Growth (IJT)-0.63%-5.29%-10.03%14.18%14.23%

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U.S. Sectors & Industries

Sector performance skewed negative, with only Technology (XLK) posting a gain, up 0.64% and carrying an RSI of 63 alongside 64% of constituents above their 50-day moving average, underscoring continued leadership. Energy (XLE) was essentially flat, down 0.06%, but remains the year’s standout performer with a 40.28% year-to-date advance tied to the ongoing rally in crude oil. Health Care (XLV) was the weakest sector of the session, falling 1.35%, while Industrials (XLI) and Consumer Staples (XLP) declined 1.27% and 1.53%, respectively. Real Estate (XLRE) and Financials (XLF) both show deeply oversold RSI readings of 19 and 24, respectively, with virtually no constituents trading above their 50-day moving average, highlighting broad technical weakness outside of technology-oriented names.

Name (Ticker)1-Day1 Month3 MonthYTD1 Year
S&P 500 (SPY)-0.21%-0.33%2.38%12.71%15.71%
Technology (XLK)0.64%5.08%2.86%36.45%39.60%
Energy (XLE)-0.06%-3.26%16.50%40.28%41.59%
Consumer Discretionary (XLY)-0.28%-6.44%-6.99%-8.29%-8.42%
Communication Services (XLC)-0.45%-0.12%3.91%-4.88%-5.10%
Utilities (XLU)-0.68%-5.92%-12.37%-5.69%-6.98%
Materials (XLB)-0.81%-7.15%-3.75%8.76%10.63%
Real Estate (XLRE)-1.04%-6.48%-6.31%3.81%0.50%
Financials (XLF)-1.13%-7.14%-0.04%-1.32%0.68%
Industrials (XLI)-1.27%-4.40%-9.61%8.50%9.49%
Health Care (XLV)-1.35%-0.87%6.55%10.14%23.03%
Consumer Staples (XLP)-1.53%-4.53%-2.33%5.76%5.68%

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Global Thematic

Thematic flows favored cloud computing and cybersecurity exposures, with the WisdomTree Cloud Computing Fund (WCLD) leading gainers at 1.73%, followed by the Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG) at 1.63% and the WisdomTree Cybersecurity Fund (WCBR) at 1.46%, consistent with the day’s technology-sector strength. On the downside, cannabis-related funds suffered sharp declines, with the AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS) falling 11.20% and the Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (CNBS) down 10.65%. The Amplify Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ) also declined 7.90%, extending the sector’s steep underperformance. Uranium-related exposure softened as well, with the Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ) down 3.54%.

Name (Ticker)1-Day
Leaders
WisdomTree Cloud Computing Fund (WCLD)1.73%
Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG)1.63%
WisdomTree Cybersecurity Fund (WCBR)1.46%
iShares Cybersecurity & Tech ETF (IHAK)1.42%
Global X Cloud Computing ETF (CLOU)1.28%
Laggards
AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF (MSOS)-11.20%
Amplify Seymour Cannabis ETF (CNBS)-10.65%
Amplify Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ)-7.90%
Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF (URNJ)-3.54%
VanEck Digital Transformation ETF (DAPP)-2.62%

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Developed ex-U.S. & Emerging Markets

Developed ex-U.S. markets (EFA) declined 0.62%, with notable weakness in France (EWQ), down 1.55%, and Switzerland (EWL), off 1.37%. Japan (EWJ) was the lone bright spot, rising 0.98% and extending a 21.35% year-to-date gain, consistent with the Nikkei 225’s 1.94% advance overnight. Within emerging markets (EEM), South Korea (EWY) led declines, falling 2.31% despite an 88.01% year-to-date surge, while Thailand (THD) dropped 2.52%. Brazil (EWZ) was a standout gainer among emerging markets, rising 2.14% and extending its year-to-date advance to 18.37%, while China (MCHI) edged up 0.17% even as it remains down 12.55% for the year.

Name (Ticker)1-Day1 Month3 MonthYTD1 Year
Developed Markets ex-U.S.
Developed ex-U.S. (EFA)-0.62%-3.31%0.01%9.89%15.07%
Australia (EWA)-0.21%-5.70%0.53%9.62%8.16%
Canada (EWC)-0.93%-4.96%1.28%8.76%17.07%
France (EWQ)-1.55%-7.11%-6.23%-3.06%-0.22%
Germany (EWG)-1.41%-6.60%-0.15%-0.87%1.25%
Hong Kong (EWH)-0.50%-3.49%5.69%5.71%7.62%
Japan (EWJ)0.98%1.65%4.49%21.35%26.78%
Netherlands (EWN)-1.20%-0.83%-3.68%19.94%22.43%
South Korea (EWY)-2.31%1.06%-9.47%88.01%133.38%
Switzerland (EWL)-1.37%-5.81%-5.89%0.39%8.97%
U.K. (EWU)-0.68%-3.80%0.85%7.32%14.65%
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets (EEM)-0.91%-0.34%-2.37%22.69%27.52%
Brazil (EWZ)2.14%3.39%7.97%18.37%25.67%
China (MCHI)0.17%-4.62%2.28%-12.55%-19.24%
India (INDA)-0.55%-6.08%-5.49%-13.64%-10.33%
Indonesia (EIDO)-0.85%-7.86%3.71%-36.15%-31.30%
Malaysia (EWM)0.48%-3.56%1.60%2.13%9.52%
Mexico (EWW)-1.33%-7.34%-5.55%4.04%7.80%
South Africa (EZA)-1.34%-9.25%1.25%-5.04%7.53%
Taiwan (EWT)-1.06%4.51%3.95%77.71%85.64%
Thailand (THD)-2.52%-2.57%-2.49%20.93%24.20%

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Fixed Income

Fixed income was broadly stable amid the persistently elevated-yield environment, with the U.S. Aggregate Bond index (AGG) down only 0.06% and Short-Term Treasuries (BSV) essentially flat, up 0.04%. Longer-duration exposure continued to underperform, with Long-Term Treasuries (BLV) down 0.46% on the day and 6.81% year-to-date, reflecting the ongoing pressure from the higher-rate backdrop. Municipal bonds diverged notably, with Long-Term Munis (MLN) gaining 1.08% and Intermediate Munis (MUB) up 0.82%, outperforming taxable counterparts. High Yield (HYG) slipped 0.19%, while Bank Loans (BKLN) declined a more modest 0.15%, maintaining a positive year-to-date return of 1.97%.

Name (Ticker)1-Day1 Month3 MonthYTD1 Year
Multisector
Short-Term (BSV)0.04%-1.08%-0.93%-0.42%0.77%
Core (AGG)-0.06%-2.61%-3.50%-2.78%-1.86%
Core Enhanced (IUSB)-0.11%-2.63%-3.41%-2.55%-1.54%
Long-Term (BLV)-0.46%-4.86%-7.85%-6.81%-7.14%
Government
Inflation Protected (TIP)0.03%-2.60%-3.29%-2.10%-2.18%
Short-Term (SPTS)0.00%-0.58%-0.23%0.42%1.59%
Ultrashort (BIL)-0.01%0.28%0.90%2.66%3.66%
Intermediate (SPTI)-0.07%-2.28%-2.95%-2.94%-1.92%
Long-Term (SPTL)-0.46%-4.97%-8.08%-7.33%-7.74%
Specialty
Mortgage Backed (MBB)0.11%-3.38%-4.14%-3.17%-1.71%
Preferred Stock (PFF)-0.03%-2.61%-1.87%-1.39%-1.63%
Corporate (SPIB)-0.06%-2.04%-2.41%-1.63%-0.42%
Bank Loans (BKLN)-0.15%-0.13%1.95%1.97%4.00%
Convertible (CWB)-0.17%-0.84%-5.74%14.64%13.63%
High Yield (HYG)-0.19%-2.73%-2.00%-0.34%0.89%
International & EM
Emerging Local (EMLC)0.28%-2.55%-1.30%0.24%3.54%
International USD (BNDX)0.02%-1.18%-2.51%-1.17%-0.88%
International Local (IGOV)-0.23%-3.49%-3.07%-4.54%-5.32%
Emerging USD (EMB)-0.48%-3.73%-4.58%-2.32%0.42%
Municipals
Long-Term (MLN)1.08%-5.05%-7.20%-4.42%-2.94%
Intermediate (MUB)0.82%-3.54%-5.29%-3.57%-1.97%
High Yield (HYD)0.73%-3.54%-5.66%-3.24%-1.45%
Short-Term (SUB)0.37%-1.43%-1.17%-0.34%0.44%

Explore the related Explorers: Taxable → · Municipal → · Specialty →

Commodities

Broad Commodities (DJP) rose 0.55%, driven primarily by continued strength in energy markets, with Brent Crude (BNO) climbing 2.28% and WTI Crude (USO) adding 1.61%, extending their respective year-to-date gains to 112.18% and 110.61%. The broad energy fund (DBE) advanced 2.69%, reinforcing energy’s position as the standout commodity complex this year. Precious metals moved lower, with Silver (SLV) down 1.75% and Gold (GLD) off 0.54%, while Palladium (PALL) declined 1.49%. Agricultural commodities were mixed to lower, with Corn (CORN) falling 2.36% and Wheat (WEAT) down 1.92%.

Name (Ticker)1-Day1 Month3 MonthYTD1 Year
Broad Commodities (DJP)0.55%0.33%17.87%36.98%45.37%
Agriculture
Soybeans (SOYB)-0.29%0.99%12.75%25.85%28.19%
Broad (DBA)-0.39%-4.02%5.51%10.27%8.93%
Sugar (CANE)-0.88%-0.53%15.02%15.43%6.23%
Wheat (WEAT)-1.92%-11.65%11.53%23.03%19.56%
Corn (CORN)-2.36%-5.08%13.67%7.39%9.11%
Energy
Broad (DBE)2.69%11.24%40.01%110.19%100.42%
Brent Crude (BNO)2.28%13.72%47.68%112.18%99.97%
WTI Crude (USO)1.61%8.95%36.85%110.61%97.51%
Natural Gas (UNG)0.19%-1.61%-11.52%-15.42%-20.66%
Industrial Metals
Copper (CPER)-0.38%-0.55%5.43%13.79%32.60%
Broad (DBB)-1.02%-1.21%4.98%10.29%26.51%
Precious Metals
Platinum (PPLT)-0.39%-5.17%9.06%-17.34%7.85%
Gold (GLD)-0.54%-6.75%3.38%-3.90%7.14%
Broad (DBP)-0.55%-6.86%3.31%-7.08%9.99%
Palladium (PALL)-1.49%-11.99%-1.22%-24.99%-4.48%
Silver (SLV)-1.75%-9.35%1.94%-15.38%28.65%

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Cryptocurrency

Cryptocurrency-linked products traded with modest losses across the board, with Solana exposure (SOLZ) declining 1.27% and Ethereum exposure (ETHA) down 0.79%. Bitcoin exposure (IBIT) was essentially unchanged, up 0.02%, while the multi-coin product (NCIQ) was flat on the day. Despite the muted daily moves, three-month returns remain strong across the asset class, with Ethereum exposure up 69.22% and Solana exposure up 58.67% over that period, even as year-to-date figures remain negative for most major tokens.

Name (Ticker)1-Day1 Month3 MonthYTD1 Year
Solana (SOLZ)-1.27%13.08%58.67%-7.03%-46.15%
Ethereum (ETHA)-0.79%7.48%69.22%-10.30%-36.15%
XRP (XRP)-0.36%7.08%42.62%-18.96%—
Multi-Coin (NCIQ)0.00%6.74%45.24%-6.65%-31.28%
Bitcoin (IBIT)0.02%5.98%42.20%-4.65%-27.17%

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What to Watch Today

Thursday brings a dense slate of U.S. economic data, including Initial Jobless Claims at 8:30 AM ET, the ISM Manufacturing PMI and Construction Spending report for August at 10:00 AM ET, and the final S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI reading at 9:45 AM ET. Motor vehicle sales data for September will also be released throughout the day. Fed officials Barkin, Collins, and Schmid are scheduled to speak around 1:05 PM ET, followed by Governor Waller at 2:00 PM ET, with additional remarks from Bowman, Williams, and Logan later in the evening. On the earnings front, Accenture, Nike, McCormick & Company, and Acuity are all scheduled to report, ahead of Friday’s closely watched Employment Situation report for September.

This material is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. All investments, including ETFs, involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Investors should consider their investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.

This analysis was developed by the team at ETF Action. We leverage advanced AI tools to assist in the drafting and refinement of our content, based on our expert prompts, direction, and final review.